IMD announced the onset of SWM 2026 over Kerala yesterday. The normal date for onset is 1st June with a +/- 7 days variance effectively making this year as a normal onset year. The presence of two circulations either side of Peninsular India has brought a classic onset conditions for Monsoon. The cyclonic circulation off…
Monsoon onset over Kerala – a few days away
As we get to the last couple of days of the official summer season most eyes are on Monsoon onset over Kerala. IMD’s statistical models estimated SWM may make its entry over Indian mainland around 26th May. But as things stand there is still sometime before monsoon winds hit Kerala. After hitting parts of A&N…
Sea Breeze struggle to spike temperatures for Chennai & Suburbs
On 15th May IMD announced the onset window for this year’s Monsoon Onset over Kerala. The statistical model forecast gave 26th May with +/- error of 4 days for MOK. A day later we saw onset of Southwest Monsoon over parts of Andaman & Nicobar islands. Monsoon dynamics effectively confirms the start of the Westerly…
Monsoon Jet ready for take off but turbulence ahead
It is almost middle of May. That time of the year when weather discussions become more mainstream. Discussions will revolve around the arrival of one of the largest annual global weather events. The earliest indication of Monsoon dynamics is the strengthening of Westerlies. Southwest Monsoon in a way is recreation of large scale sea breeze….
LPA to form in SW Bay, but path may be unfavorable for TN
The North Indian Ocean cyclone season is typically split as two sub seasons by Southwest Monsoon. Pre Monsoon season coincides with the summer months. Post Monsoon season coincides with Northeast Monsoon season. Often these cyclones also play a role in reversing the seasonal winds between Westerlies and Easterlies. Over the past 24 to 48 hours…