On 8th June the Arabian Sea branch of monsoon passed over Harnai in Konkan Maharashtra. Since then it has been stationery while the Bay branch has covered all of West Bengal. It has reached right at the border of East UP / North Bihar. It is almost like the Monsoon Express was given a red…
Monsoon dynamics struggles under large scale suppression
The first fortnight of June is now behind us. Monsoon dynamics has continued to stutter along during this period after making onset over Kerala on 4th June. The overall performance for the country stands at -32%. Among the Peninsular West coast sub divisions in the strictest sense only Lakshadweep is in positive zone. Kerala &…
Leeward plains of TN to see SWM season’s 1st thunderstorm window
The Southwest Monsoon juggernaut has been slowly ambling along ever since it made onset over Kerala on 4th June. As the monsoon moves along the leeward plains of North TN is also bearing the brunt. The brunt of stiff westerlies that keep temperatures high till evening. With sea breeze either not coming in or very…
SWM 2026 hits the shores of Kerala but bumps ahead
IMD announced the onset of SWM 2026 over Kerala yesterday. The normal date for onset is 1st June with a +/- 7 days variance effectively making this year as a normal onset year. The presence of two circulations either side of Peninsular India has brought a classic onset conditions for Monsoon. The cyclonic circulation off…
Monsoon onset over Kerala – a few days away
As we get to the last couple of days of the official summer season most eyes are on Monsoon onset over Kerala. IMD’s statistical models estimated SWM may make its entry over Indian mainland around 26th May. But as things stand there is still sometime before monsoon winds hit Kerala. After hitting parts of A&N…