Near Stationary Low in Bay defies Weather Models

December 4, 2017 7:22 am COMK - Chennai Rains 0

Two days is a long time in Weather and most of Tamil Nadu witnessed it after Cyclone Ockhi last week.  When most of the watch was on a possible Bay disturbance to develop last week pretty much out of nowhere except for those who were tracking it actively Cyclone Ockhi made its move changing the entire dynamics topsy turvy. While most of Tamil Nadu was briefed about possibility of heavy rains on 4th & 5th as estimated by Models a couple of days back, we are heading for a possibly dry day across the state as model estimates were kicked [Read More]

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Return of the King Maker to Revive Northeast Monsoon 2017

November 22, 2017 8:40 am COMK - Chennai Rains 457

A lot of people have been having worries about Northeast Monsoon 2017 especially from South TN and the interior parts of Tamil Nadu. As a principle we stay away from long range weather inferences due to the dynamic nature of how things change drastically in the Tropics. Partially due to the some of the desperate messages which a lot of people have been sending us and also due to a certain consistency in the influence of one of the Key Ingredients of Northeast Monsoon “MJO the King Maker” we have decided to put a slightly long term view on what [Read More]

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Northeast Monsoon 2017 Outlook

October 17, 2017 11:39 pm COMK - Chennai Rains 380

While Southwest Monsoon continues to withdraw from the Indian sub continent the eyes are now firmly on the onset of Northeast Monsoon.  The retreating monsoon that is the lifeline of Tamil Nadu and Pondicherry is the most anticipated event by the weather bloggers of Chennai.  Keeping in mind the importance of Northeast Monsoon we at COMK have tried to provide a simple inference on what could be in store for Tamil Nadu & Pondicherry during this monsoon for this year. In this context we would also like to mention that we have taken a slightly more holistic approach in terms [Read More]

Cauvery River Basin – Prudent Water Management a Long Term Solution

September 21, 2017 8:42 am COMK - Chennai Rains 57

As the delta districts celebrate the Kaveri Maha Pushkaram the once in 144 years event in a late season flourish Southwest Monsoon has possibly given a parting gift to the Cauvery Basin making a far more comfortable situation compared to 2016.  As most regular observers would know Southwest Monsoon holds the key for almost all of the major reservoirs of Tamil Nadu with most of them dependent on the rains in Western Ghats during this period. Yes in the past Northeast Monsoon has possibly often provided the opportunities for many a reservoir to overflow and possibly creating floods  but the [Read More]