The wise assert that: “While climate is dictated by the sun and the earth’s axial tilt, weather is dictated by the tropical planetary waves.” While at most instances, the term “climatology” can be construed as governed by the natural law driving atmospheric features and oceanic currents, and the “ensuing weather”just follows the rules written therein, there are plenty of outliers…
Category: COMK Analysis
Northeast Monsoon 2025 – A good year with potential to become exceptional
Back in 2017 when even IMD did not issue seasonal update for NEM our first outlook was put up. Initially the outlooks were mostly based on seasonal OLR charts or Hovmollers from CFS. Gradually the availability of ECMWF seasonal forecasts provided another tool to look into while making seasonal outlooks. Over time these seasonal outlooks…
Cauvery Basin benefits from early season flourish
Cauvery is not just a river for lakhs and lakhs of farmers of Karnataka and Tamil Nadu. It is a life line. During times of drinking water crisis both the sister cities of South India, Bengaluru and Chennai, have taken the help of Cauvery. But it is also essential to mention Cauvery basin in the…
Cyclone impact for Tamil Nadu during late November
In recent years names like Vardah, Thane, Ockhi are etched in the memory of people from Tamil Nadu. These have one more thing in common apart from impacting Tamil Nadu. All of these are late season cyclones that formed during La Nina years. Old timers may remember the Dhanushkodi Cyclone, one of the strongest to…
NEM 2024 likely to be a season of non stop disturbances
One of the biggest challenges in disseminating weather information is striking a balance. Striking a balance between not triggering a panic and people dropping the guard. A similar dilemma is how far do you crystal gaze considering weather is very dynamic. But at time one decides prevention is better than cure. Today’s post is to…