IMD has officially acknowledged Northeast Monsoon has ended.Though the easterly winds would continue till possibly April the chances of rains would depend hugely on any synoptic conditions in the form of an easterly wave pushed in from Western Pacific or possibly any disturbance developing over in Bay of Bengal.
Category: COMK Analysis
Northeast Monsoon Rainfall Analysis for Chennai (1958 to 2012)
Lot of discussions happen among weather enthusiasts on what factors provide a good Northeast Monsoon for Chennai. While there are a lot of factors that influence rains, this analysis is restricted to finding how ENSO & IOD have behaved during various rainfall years to get an understanding on what is an ideal correlation between the two…
Bay of Bengal Current & Prospective Disturbances Analysis
The current depression in Bay of Bengal has pretty much ended its life cycle with Shear and Dry Air killing any chance of becoming anything big. Its currently to the ENE of Chennai and is expected to wind up towards the Indian Coast towards South AP / North TN, whether it would indeed reach the…
November Cyclones – Historical Perspective – Tamil Nadu
With the cyclone brewing in the Bay of Bengal its time to put a historical perspective to the November cyclones over the last 50 years that hit Chennai. About 18 systems have hit Tamil Nadu during November which compared to the rest of East coast of about 35 systems gives a probability of 1 in…