Is NEM Heading for Closure over North TN as Bay low heads North?

December 6, 2017 7:50 am COMK - Chennai Rains 0

The Well Marked Low Pressure in Bay of Bengal has been showing signs of consolidation since yesterday as it moved into the open waters over Bay of Bengal.  After making near Westward movement all the while for the past few days since last morning it has started making a NW movement as it started to consolidate. As we mentioned in our post on 4th December on possible path the disturbance can take the High Pressure Zone over Myanmar will be steering this disturbance on a Northwest Track until Central AP latitude post which it could start moving Northeast if it [Read More]

Models struggle against Bay Low Pressure

December 5, 2017 7:32 am COMK - Chennai Rains 0

The Bay Low Pressure continues to keep weather watchers on tenterhooks without following the scripts written by weather models as well.  Along with its bigger cousin Cyclone Ockhi it has been a nightmare week for both models and weather watchers.  Cyclone Ockhi continues to defy predictions moving North almost reaching Mumbai latitude intact as a cyclone in what could be possibly the rarest case for a December Cyclone. While models estimate Cyclone Ockhi to lose some intensity and move as a Depression towards the Gujarat coast keeping in trend so far it would not be a surprise if it ends [Read More]

Near Stationary Low in Bay defies Weather Models

December 4, 2017 7:22 am COMK - Chennai Rains 0

Two days is a long time in Weather and most of Tamil Nadu witnessed it after Cyclone Ockhi last week.  When most of the watch was on a possible Bay disturbance to develop last week pretty much out of nowhere except for those who were tracking it actively Cyclone Ockhi made its move changing the entire dynamics topsy turvy. While most of Tamil Nadu was briefed about possibility of heavy rains on 4th & 5th as estimated by Models a couple of days back, we are heading for a possibly dry day across the state as model estimates were kicked [Read More]

Rains Slow Down In Tamil Nadu

December 3, 2017 7:06 am COMK - Chennai Rains 0

Just as many interior parts of Tamil Nadu was looking at a possible complete failure of Northeast Monsoon Cyclone Ockhi came in as a blessing in disguise to bring some rains to the districts of Erode / Dharmapuri / Krishnagiri / Vellore etc.  In particular the last couple of days saw a classic case of why a strong Arabian Sea system could work out beneficial to larger parts of Tamil Nadu due to the moisture dragged by these systems across the land from Bay of Bengal If Friday was the best day in terms of rains through Moisture incursion as [Read More]