Northeast Monsoon this year has seen short burst of active monsoon interspersed with longer spell of dry weather. Large parts of the first fortnight of November saw dry weather conditions. 2nd fortnight slowly saw Monsoon get back on track with Cyclonic Storm Ditwah tilting the seasonal rainfall charts for many districts. This is visible in…
AN EMPERICAL TECHNIQUE USING HOVMÖLLERS TO PREDICT GENESIS, INTENSITY AND TRACK OF TROPICAL WEATHER SYSTEMS
Have you ever wondered if one can anticipate and predict the genesis, intensity and tracks of tropical disturbances almost weeks/month in advance with reasonable confidence? While prima-facie, we believed MJO to be the sole tropical wave driving all monsoons, ER which has always been present along with MJO and which moves east->west has actually been the…
“MADDEN JULIAN OSCILLATION” AS THE DRIVER OF SOUTHWEST MONSOON AND “EQUATORIAL ROSSBY” AS THE DRIVER OF NORTHEAST MONSOON RAINFALL
“Truths remain hidden for long while lies easily propagate across weeks, months or even years just like the week-lies” There is always a necessity to unlearn and relearn as new insights emerge. It is in this context; as one reads the title, this post is likely to serve as a revelation to every weather enthusiast/blogger….
Stalled Deep Depression batters Chennai coast
24 hours is a long time in weather. Ask the people of Odisha when a stalled super cyclone created for 24 hours after making landfall in the year 1999. Ask the people of Chennai when a stalled Michaung brought the city to its knees 2 years back. 1st week of December is slowly turning out to be a period of extreme…
Southwest Bay LPA becomes depression off SE Coast of Sri Lanka
Not often one gets to see two disturbances spinning over Bay of Bengal and adjoining areas. In what is likely to be one of the first instances we now have a Depression over Southwest Bay and a cyclone over Strait of Malacca and adjoining areas. Cyclonic Storm Senyar is expected to drift East from today…