Southwest Monsoon to check into East India under conducive conditions

After a little bit of stalling Southwest Monsoon is expected to once again pick up pace under conducive conditions that are developing in Bay of Bengal.  While an Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation off Bangladesh has been providing rains to many parts of Northeast India a developing UAC in Central Bay off North Coastal Andhra Pradesh is expected to drag Southwest Monsoon into parts of East & Central India over the next couple of days.

While models are not expecting the current Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation in Central Bay to descend into surface level and become an organized tropical disturbance the possibility does exist depending on the evolution over the next 24 – 48 hours.   Weather_Update_1

With the current conducive conditions in the Bay branch we can expect some places in Odisha, North Coastal Andhra, Chhatisgarh & Jharkhand to receive moderate to heavy rains.  Most places of East & the eastern part of Central India around the Chota Nagpur region could receive isolated spells of rains while many areas of Northeast India will continue to see moderate rains at many places.


West Coast could once again start seeing active monsoon conditions return under the influence of the Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation in Central Bay.  This will help the rains revive over parts of Coastal Karnataka & Kerala along with the Konkan coast.  Moderate rains could be expected at many places in the West Coast.  Mostly dry weather could be expected in Tamil Nadu except for some parts of extreme South Tamil Nadu around Kanyakumari & Tirunelveli districts.  Similarly we could see some rains in a few places along the Western Ghats as well particularly around the Nilgiri & Valparai region.